.THERE IS minimal question about the very likely victor of Britain's basic election on July 4th: with a top of twenty percent points in nationwide opinion surveys, the Work Gathering is remarkably very likely to win. However there is actually anxiety regarding the dimension of Labour's majority in Britain's 650-seat Residence of Commons. Some polling firms have actually published seat forecasts using a novel technique called multi-level regression as well as post-stratification (MRP). What are actually these polls-- and how accurate are they?